Tuesday, March 21, 2023

It's (Not) All About Us

 

I've seen this meme before.  Just saw it again the other day.



I have some concerns.

First, there certainly is a problem in Canada with ALL of the things mentioned.  Homelessness, poverty, child poverty, hunger, mental health problems, services for veterans, and so on.


My observation is simply this: We don't fund those things nearly well enough because there isn't the political will to do so.  And the reason there isn't the political will is because Canadians don't elect politicians who say they will DO something about those problems.  Why not?  Because those are problems experienced by "other people".  Not us.  Them.

People are poor, we are told, because they are lazy.  People have mental health issues because they are weak.  And we certainly don't want to address any issues that make us uncomfortable.  And on it goes.


So those "billions" we donate to other countries......

Canada donates approximately 0.31% of Gross National Income to Foreign Aid.  That's not very impressive when compared to many other wealthy countries.  In fact, of about 12 relatively high-income countries (some much smaller than us), only Italy and the US contribute less.


You can read more about Foreign Aid here:


So why should we donate to countries that are so less fortunate than we are?  Because it's the right thing to do?  Yes, but also because it's in our self-interest to do so.  The reality is that when people are impoverished, angry, resentful, potentially violent or crazy and you don't offer them any other options, quite often those are the choices they make.


And many of those other countries?  The reason why so many of them are poor is clearly because of us (the wealthy west) - we exploited their resources when we found it convenient.  We exploited their cheap labour so we could have cheap consumer goods.  We've meddled in their governments.  And when they try to leave the hell-holes they're living in, we build walls to keep them out and whine about immigrants.  Immigrants who know how to work and would contribute to Canada IF they were given half a chance.


You can read more about Immigration here.


Canada.  We can do better.




Saturday, March 11, 2023

Doubling Down on a Dangerous Narrative

 

I seem to have struck a nerve.


A couple of weeks ago, an article (a REAL article, not just a Letter to the Editor) written by Art Joyce, appeared in a local paper, The Valley Voice.  That article can be read in its entirety here, on page 16.

The Valley Voice February 9th 2023


I responded with a brief letter, pointing out how inaccurate and misleading his article was

My letter can be seen here, on page 4  The Valley Voice, February 23, 2023  and a more lengthy response was posted on my blog.   That article can be seen here: A Falsely Dangerous Narrative.  Some explanations cannot be made in 2 paragraph snippets, especially when The Valley Voice makes a disproportionate amount of space available to anything coming from the anti-vaccine and anti-science community.


 The following week, Mr Joyce responds.  His response can be seen here:  The Valley Voice, March 9, 2023, page 5

Mr Joyce makes several claims.  One is that I "... didn't address even one of the points ..." in his article.  In fact, I addressed ALL of them.  Apparently Mr Joyce didn't actually READ my comments.  He then goes on to appeal to authority - he's written X number of books and articles over 30 years as a journalist - and then appeals to science - what could be more scientific than references to VAERS, a bunch of footnotes and some random names with Dr in front of them?  I have no comment about Mr Joyce's other works.  They could be great.  I'm just saying that this particular article is nonsense.


Here's the thing, Mr Joyce.  I addressed every single one of your points.  Every. Single. One.  Did you address mine?  No.  And just because you include references to a database in a pretense of using "science" doesn't mean you've been able to draw any useful conclusions from it.  This is like owning an electron microscope and having no idea how to use it.  Owning the microscope doesn't make you an expert in electron microscopy. You might impress some people because you own such a device, but if you don't know how to use it...., well, you're just another schmuck with your own personal dust collector.


Mr Joyce then goes on to dig in a bit deeper by mentioning, once again, the people he called on in his original article to support his stand.  It bears mentioning that just repeating something that was unhelpful or misleading to begin with does nothing to make it more helpful, or truthful.  The fact is, ALL the people he mentions are generally well-known for their stand against vaccines and the kind of public health actions that we saw over the past 3 years.  I'm sure they have their reasons for believing what they do, just as children have reasons to believe in Santa Claus and the Tooth Fairy.  Eventually, one just has to learn how to distinguish between fact and fiction.



Mr Joyce goes on to mention, once again, someone who seems to be one his pet sources, a certain Dr Naomi Wolf.  I will have to admit not knowing much about Ms Wolf.  She was one of the earlier pioneers in the Feminist movement, along with people like Gloria Steinem and Betty Friedan.  So far, so good.  In more recent years, however, Ms Wolf seems to have had an epiphany, and not a good kind.  Increasingly, she's been viewed this way: (from Naomi Wolf - Wikipedia)

Since around 2014, Wolf has been described, by journalists and media outlets, as a conspiracy theorist.[a] She has received criticism for promoting misinformation on topics such as beheadings carried out by ISIS, the Western African Ebola virus epidemic and Edward Snowden.[7][8][9]

She has objected to COVID-19 lockdowns and has criticized COVID-19 vaccines.[10][11] In June 2021, her Twitter account was suspended for posting anti-vaccine misinformation.[12]


As I mentioned before, Ms Wolf has a PhD in Philosophy.  This doesn't qualify her in any field related to medicine, virology, pharmacology, immunology or really anything related to the pandemic.  Even in her later writings, she's come under increasing criticism, with comments like "... a "silly book" containing "much dubious neuroscience and much foolishness."

Ms Wolf could very well have "a team" or "researchers", but we can see pretty clearly what her team is looking for.  I wouldn't give it much credence.

In a final (one hopes) parting shot, Mr Joyce tosses in the name of one girl who was supposedly "injured" by the Pfizer vaccine.  It's difficult to find much credible information on this incident.  I'm discounting YouTube videos and anything from known anti-vaxx cultists, but I was able to find ONE article that described the situation. 
That article, from November 2021, mentions that:


The mother of the girl and the group behind the ad have not provided any evidence that the girl was diagnosed as harmed by a Covid-19 vaccine.


We all should know by now that people CAN react adversely to vaccines, just as they can from any medical procedure.  Many people can also react adversely to viruses, and many die.  The question is what is the risk vs reward ratio?  The anti-vaccine industry is going to great lengths to claim that "thousands" (or is it millions?) have died, had heart attacks, strokes, Bell's Palsy and all manner of other outcomes from being vaccinated with what they call "experimental mRNA vaccines".  




These are the vaccines that have been administered to billions of people around the world.  They've been studied and under development for close to 20 years.  They're new, certainly.  Their approach is revolutionary.  Expect to see them being used to treat other conditions.  Calling them "experimental" at this state is a bit of a stretch.


Despite all this, I'm grateful to Mr Joyce for bringing, once again, his opinions into view again.  It makes it quite clear where he has decided to hang his hat.



Thursday, March 09, 2023

The Origins of COVID-19

 

I'm still trying to understand why this matters to so many people, but the issue of where the SARS-CoV-2 virus came from has galvanized discussion among scientists, intelligence agencies and, of course, the anti-vaxx community for approximately 3 years.


Photo from the Rand Corporation article noted below



There are two main theories out there, as likely everyone knows by now.  I use the word theories but I'm not even certain that's the right word.  In science, the word theory has a special meaning, specifically a  possible explanation based on supporting evidence.  I'll leave it to the reader to decide which explanation (s) meet that definition.


The Field Museum presents a clear definition of what theory means in science:


A theory is a carefully thought-out explanation for observations of the natural world that has been constructed using the scientific method, and which brings together many facts and hypotheses.


 As I said, there are two possible explanations out there:


1) The virus jumped from wild animals to humans at a so-called "wet market" in Wuhan, China.

2) The virus leaked from a lab, also in Wuhan, China.


In recent days, the whole debate has been ignited again with comments from the FBI and other American intelligence agencies.  It seems likely that many people have latched onto these recent reports because they have always been convinced that the virus emerged as the result of a lab accident.  


This article from NPR covers the main discussion points quite well:


What does the science say about the origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic


Virologist Angela Rasmussen, who contributed to one of the Science papers, says the DOE's "low confident" conclusion doesn't "negate the affirmative evidence for zoonotic [or animal] origin nor do they add any new information in support of lab origin."

"Many other [news] outlets are presenting this as new conclusive proof that the lab origin hypothesis is equally as plausible as the zoonotic origin hypothesis," Rasmussen wrote in an email to NPR, "and that is a misrepresentation of the evidence for either."


One of the actual scientific publications referred to in that article can be seen here.

Their "One-Sentence Summary" says (and I paraphrase): Geographical clustering of the earliest known cases and the proximity of positive environmental samples to live animal vendors suggest that the Wuhan Market was the site of the origin of the COVID-19 pandemic.

One

sentence
summary:
Geographical
clustering
of
the
earliest
known
COVID-19
cases
and
the
proximity
of
positive
environmental
samples
to
live-animal
vendors
suggest
that
the
Huanan
Seafood
Wholesale
Market
in
Wuhan
was
the
site
of origin of the COVID-19 pandemic

One

sentence
summary:
Geographical
clustering
of
the
earliest
known
COVID-19
cases
and
the
proximity
of
positive
environmental
samples
to
live-animal
vendors
suggest
that
the
Huanan
Seafood
Wholesale
Market
in
Wuhan
was
the
site
of origin of the COVID-19 pandemic


This article from the Rand Corporation is a bit dated (from June 2021), but briefly mentions the main possibilities.


It seems the debate will continue and might never be conclusively resolved.  But some adherents on both sides of the issue seem to have a point to make, so I'm sure the matter won't go away any time soon.



Thursday, March 02, 2023

The Laws of Natural Selection are Still in Efect

 

I almost hate to bring this up at a time when around 400 Americans (and about 25 Canadians) are still dying from this virus EACH DAY.  That's an annualized rate of around 150,000 in the USA and about 9500 in Canada.  As an interesting aside, note that Canada's rate is approximately half the rate in the USA, taking into account the sizes of our respective populations.  Note also that, in a normal flu season, approximately 3500 Canadians will die from the effects of that virus.


However, a quick look at a very simple graph comes courtesy of Our World in Data.  If you follow the link and pass your cursor over the lines, you can clearly see that unvaccinated people are dying from this virus at a rate that is approximately 5 to 7 times greater than ANY vaccinated people, whether they've had a bivalent booster or not.  I'm really not sure how that data could be interpreted in any other way.


Natural Selection is still at work, weeding out the weak, the less agile, the less intelligent, the less careful, one at a time.  Ignore Biology at your peril.