Saturday, December 11, 2021

Conversations with an Anti-Vaxxer II

 It's been apparent for months (years?) that discussing vaccines with anti-vaxxers is a complete waste of time.  You will not change their minds and will only end up sending a vast amount of time into a place where you can never get it back

As has been mentioned elsewhere: "You can't use reason and logic to change the position of someone who didn't use reason and logic to get there."

It's more fun to just copy random comments and see how they stack up to facts from reputable sources.

One of my more recent exchanges yielded these nuggets:

Dorothy Diana

Dave McCormick There have been no vaccines approved if you go by the definition of vaccine as it has been until it was changed in the dictionary in late 2019. That alone should make you raise an eyebrow.
And while we’re on the topic, can you let me know the “vaccines” you believe have been approved outside of emergency use?

I wasn't aware that a dictionary definition was the sole arbiter of how we decided whether something was a vaccine or not.  In any case, the general description of a vaccine is just something that we introduce into our bodies in order to stimulate an immune response.  

There are, in fact, many slightly different definitions of the word "vaccine".  This site covers 9 of them.

What this person seems to misunderstand is that definitions change, often in response to a better understanding of how the things they describe work.  At one time, there wasn't any definition of vaccine, because they didn't exist.  Does this mean that we can never have a new word or a definition for that new word?

The claim that the definition has changed is missing context, as this article explains.  The article also has a number of good sources where one can find additional information.

The other part of "Dorothy's" comment reflects a long-held belief of anti-vaxxers, that "emergency use authorization" is not the same as "authorized for use".  This article from Wikipedia explains how EUAs work and why they were brought in.  This site from Nationwide Children's has a short explanation useful for parents.


Pfizer, of course, has recently been granted full approval, although I doubt it will reassure the anti-vaxx crowd.

Dorothy Diana
Dave McCormick you have to rely on reading the safety studies to know if something “sensible”. Would you buy a car if they just told you it was safe? What if they showed you safety studies and you looked at them but didn’t notice the car manufacturer had performed them, and no one independent had reviewed them and they were done very quickly? Are you that gullible?
Helmets have been shown up for many years to prevent serious head injury when bike accidents happen. There are no side effects to wesring a helmet like permanent neurological injury and cardiac death.
There have never been long term or good short term studies on these injections. Pfizer documents reveal an alarming amount of injury or death in the first month they distributed these. Only you believe marketing, while Pfizer has made 30 billion +.
If you’re just watching the TV and not reading for yourself you’re just a victim of dangerous marketing. As are your children.

First, I don't generally ever look at safety data when buying a vehicle.  I doubt many do.  As extensions of our personalities, as objects of social status and as fun equipment that we like to play with, I'm pretty sure that most people spend far more time considering color, options, power, style and all those other matters than they EVER spend thinking about or researching vehicle safety.  Most people also know that government imposes certain safety standards on vehicle manufacturers.  Most of us know none of those standards guarantees 100% safety from our vehicles.  And yet, we continue to buy them, based on color, style, power, fancy options, brand loyalty....

It is true that safety is more important when considering a treatment administered to someone who isn't ill, compared to, say, a bike helmet.  I will add, though, that vaccines have to go through a far more rigorous testing regime than any car goes though.  It's possible that no vehicles would ever be approved for use if they did.

While it's true that the drug companies run the trials, there most certainly is independent review of ALL their data.  That's what the FDA does.  That's what Health Canada does.  That what the European Medicines Agency does.  And each of those has separate, independent committees made up of experts in these things to evaluate and make recommendations.  And it's worth pointing our that these vaccines have been in development for a long time.


There is no evidence of any "alarming amounts of injury or death" from any of the vaccines administered, and that that is now over the 8 billion mark around the world.

Recent vaccine trials involved tens of thousands of people.  Some adverse reactions can be so rare that they might not have showed up at all in that group.  That's why careful surveillance is imposed on all vaccines (or any new drug) once it's rolled out to the general public, expressly to find those rare 1 in a million cases.

Dorothy Diana
So, logic lacks in these analogies, but they might work for the weak minded. I am a nurse – let me explain. Driving after drinking puts someone else at risk. Allowing a population to have an injection with no safety studies that is “leaky“ drives the virus variants. Thank you for Delta, it was preventable.
Don’t believe me though- how about Nobel prize winning virologist Luc Montagnier, as well as Dr Geert Vanden Bossch who has the ear of many world leaders due to his accomplishments, abd used to work for the injection developers, as well as thousands of other scientists who are not getting paid. As predicted the vaccinated are the sick and are driving the variants. The TV abd pharm companies have told you yeh injections do not work -what don’t you believe them? The boosters will never end. Please wake up.

So where do virus variants come from?  This recent article from Tufts University explains what viruses are and how they mutate.  Anyone with high school Biology should be able to understand it.  Basically, the more any virus replicates, the more chance there are for mutations.  It's a random thing, so viruses aren't "taking advantage of vaccines" to avoid them.  It's just natural selection.  Some mutations are successful, some are not.

It's fascinating to watch anti-vaxxers search diligently for the one or two experts out there who happen to say things that they agree with.  Unfortunately, they tend to fall into the category of Appeal to Authority - if someone important says it's so, it must be.  Well, even experts can be wrong, and in this case, there is NO evidence so support Dr Montagnier's assertions, as this article points out.

The fact remains, unfortunately, despite "Dorothy's" claims, there will be more chances of mutations anywhere the virus is replicating more often, and that is primarily in large populations of unvaccinated people.  This article from Healthline explains it quite well.

So the problem really is this:








Thursday, December 09, 2021

State of the Union - Pandemic Edition

 As vaccination rates slowly increase and as the Omicron variant spreads rapidly around the world, it might be worth reviewing where we are.

Globally, somewhat over 40% of the population has been vaccinated against COVID-19.  The reality is that huge disparities exist.  So while many developed countries have vaccination rates approaching or exceeding 80%, many other countries are barely into the double digits.

Some statistics on deaths caught my attention.

In the USA, there have been around 810,000 deaths from this virus in a population of 330 million.  That can be more helpfully expressed as 1 death in every 407 Americans.  Remember that ratio: 1 in 407.  Notable is the fact that only around 60% of the whole population has been fully vaccinated.  

It's worth pointing out that there are several states with populations close to 800,000.  Deaths in the USA from this virus mean that the total population of states like North or South Dakota have just disappeared.  Alaska would be home to only bears and wolves.  Imagine traveling through those states and not encountering a single other living person.

In the UK, there have been 146,000 deaths in a population of 65 million.  That's 1 death in 445.  About 70% are fully vaccinated.

In Canada, we have recorded almost 30,000 deaths in a population of 38 million.  That's 1 death in 1260.  About 78% of our total population has been vaccinated.


This chart is from the EU, but it certainly shows a relationship between vaccination rates and deaths.

That means, in round numbers, that the US and the UK have had a rate of death that is 3 times what we've had in Canada.  Part of that can likely be explained by the vaccination rate differences, since vaccines have been available for almost a year, but not all.  Part of the difference can likely be attributed to differences in political leadership. We know where the USA was in the early months of the pandemic, with the Commander in Chief dismissing the virus as trivial and showing little leadership in any aspect of the pandemic.

There was Operation Warp Speed, where the President did throw a good deal of money at facilitating vaccine development.  Despite this apparent support, many Trump supporters still refuse vaccines with many of them ending up in the hospital still denying that could be infected with the virus.

I'd attribute some of the speed of vaccine development to the virus itself.  When vaccine developers started recruiting volunteers for their different trials, they were inundated with volunteers.  Apparently it can be difficult to find enough people to participate in drug trials.  Not this time.

As well, the sheer amount of virus circulating simply meant that results came in far, far faster than normal.  The usual practice is to administer the drug/vaccine and wait for data to come in.  This can take years.  Not this time.

In Canada, at least in the beginning, ALL levels of government were singing from the same song book.  Admittedly, in the beginning, there were challenges getting enough vaccine doses to really get our inoculation program off the ground.  This can partly be blamed on decisions made years ago that dismantled our domestic vaccine development capacity.

The harmonious approach in Canada didn't really last all that long.  Once vaccines started rolling out, large pockets of resistance appeared.  Public Health Orders were the subject of protests.  So, rather than uniting against a virus, some chose to flail against wearing a simple face mask.

And then there were the anti-vaxxers and other conspiracy nitwits ....

As time wore on, certain provinces descended into semi-chaos, with hospitalizations far exceeding the national average.  I'm thinking here of Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba.  Three fine, Conservative, provinces where political "leaders" seemed unable to convince their base that certain simple practices were really in their best interests.  The numbers told the story.

So where are we today?

Tracking Coronavirus Vaccinations Around the World

Daily deaths from COVID in the USA are still hovering around 1000.  Omicron is spreading around the world, literally at jet speed.  Total vaccinations are slowly inching upwards but not nearly fast enough.

And too many people are protesting against doing anything to improve the situation.